{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
       log:  {res}C:\Work\Research\Alliance\escexp\MintzRussett\Leeds2004.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 7 Oct 2004, 15:04:23
{txt}
{com}. do "C:\Work\Research\Alliance\escexp\MintzRussett\Leeds2004.do"
{txt}
{com}. use "C:\Work\Research\Alliance\escexp\MintzRussett\Leeds2004.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}. 
. heckprob multinit capprop dendyt2d ofndyt1d targjoin, select (disdum=jdem contig capprop swtglo dndyns2d ofndyt1d neuto1d) nolog

{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}    69730
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}    68918
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      812

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}4{txt})       = {res}    69.22
{txt}Log likelihood = {res} -4546.27                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}multinit     {txt}{c |}
     capprop {c |}  {res} .4473945   .1000116     4.47   0.000     .2513754    .6434136
    {txt}dendyt2d {c |}  {res}-.4485275   .0900135    -4.98   0.000    -.6249506   -.2721043
    {txt}ofndyt1d {c |}  {res} .2288281   .0699748     3.27   0.001     .0916801    .3659761
    {txt}targjoin {c |}  {res} .3309917   .0966445     3.42   0.001      .141572    .5204114
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-3.066715   .0729475   -42.04   0.000     -3.20969   -2.923741
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}disdum       {txt}{c |}
        jdem {c |}  {res}-.1270677   .0526776    -2.41   0.016    -.2303139   -.0238214
      {txt}contig {c |}  {res} .5299931   .0296394    17.88   0.000      .471901    .5880852
     {txt}capprop {c |}  {res} .1855621   .0384193     4.83   0.000     .1102617    .2608625
      {txt}swtglo {c |}  {res}-.3883967   .0381157   -10.19   0.000    -.4631022   -.3136913
    {txt}dndyns2d {c |}  {res}-.1937619   .0340219    -5.70   0.000    -.2604437   -.1270801
    {txt}ofndyt1d {c |}  {res}  .189018   .0379452     4.98   0.000     .1146467    .2633893
     {txt}neuto1d {c |}  {res} .2090189   .0358697     5.83   0.000     .1387156    .2793222
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-2.321225   .0352549   -65.84   0.000    -2.390323   -2.252126
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     /athrho {c |}  {res} 1.819715    .328783     5.53   0.000{col 58} 1.175312    2.464118
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
         rho {c |}  {res}   .94881   .0327993{col 58} .8259676    .9856255
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   50.02   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. predict minipre2, p11
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace ofndyt1d=1
{txt}(61188 real changes made)

{com}. predict mini2of, p11
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace ofndyt1d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict mini2nof, p11
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. sum multinit minipre2 mini2of mini2nof

{txt}    Variable {c |}     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 53}
    multinit {c |}{res}     812    .1982759   .3989468          0          1
    {txt}minipre2 {c |}{res}     812    .0031025   .0023864   .0002179   .0165469
     {txt}mini2of {c |}{res}     812    .0048936   .0029677   .0005012   .0188143
    {txt}mini2nof {c |}{res}     812    .0025303   .0016436   .0002179   .0105748
{txt}
{com}. replace ofndyt1d=offense
{txt}(8648 real changes made)

{com}. 
. predict minipre3, pcond
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace ofndyt1d=1
{txt}(61188 real changes made)

{com}. predict mini3of, pcond
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace ofndyt1d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict mini3nof, pcond
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. sum multinit minipre3 mini3of mini3nof

{txt}    Variable {c |}     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 53}
    multinit {c |}{res}     812    .1982759   .3989468          0          1
    {txt}minipre3 {c |}{res}     812    .1979274   .1469378   .0089631   .8003831
     {txt}mini3of {c |}{res}     812    .2276319   .1567288   .0090315    .841881
    {txt}mini3nof {c |}{res}     812    .1893262   .1416766   .0058049   .8003831
{txt}
{com}. replace ofndyt1d=offense
{txt}(8648 real changes made)

{com}. 
. heckprob multtarg capprop dendyt2d ofndyt1d neuto1d initjoin, select (disdum=jdem contig capprop swtglo dndyns2d ofndyt1d neuto1d) nolog

{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}    69730
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}    68918
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      812

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}    68.93
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-4543.149                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}multtarg     {txt}{c |}
     capprop {c |}  {res}-.3518228   .1676369    -2.10   0.036    -.6803851   -.0232605
    {txt}dendyt2d {c |}  {res} .8565375   .1308025     6.55   0.000     .6001693    1.112906
    {txt}ofndyt1d {c |}  {res}-.4662049   .1701993    -2.74   0.006    -.7997895   -.1326204
     {txt}neuto1d {c |}  {res} -.377617   .1715719    -2.20   0.028    -.7138917   -.0413424
    {txt}initjoin {c |}  {res} .6687995    .178672     3.74   0.000     .3186088     1.01899
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res} -.821591   .6679103    -1.23   0.219    -2.130671    .4874892
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}disdum       {txt}{c |}
        jdem {c |}  {res}-.1429759   .0595357    -2.40   0.016    -.2596637    -.026288
      {txt}contig {c |}  {res} .5232802   .0309037    16.93   0.000     .4627101    .5838503
     {txt}capprop {c |}  {res} .1853368   .0384755     4.82   0.000     .1099261    .2607475
      {txt}swtglo {c |}  {res}-.4107227   .0402469   -10.21   0.000    -.4896052   -.3318403
    {txt}dndyns2d {c |}  {res}-.2052814   .0343364    -5.98   0.000    -.2725795   -.1379833
    {txt}ofndyt1d {c |}  {res} .1843164   .0381802     4.83   0.000     .1094846    .2591482
     {txt}neuto1d {c |}  {res} .2026721   .0386333     5.25   0.000     .1269523    .2783919
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-2.301226   .0361873   -63.59   0.000    -2.372152   -2.230301
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     /athrho {c |}  {res}-.0046335    .251516    -0.02   0.985{col 58}-.4975958    .4883289
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
         rho {c |}  {res}-.0046334   .2515106{col 58}-.4602243    .4528891
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.00   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.9853
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. predict mtarpre2, p11
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace dendyt2d=1
{txt}(48812 real changes made)

{com}. replace dndyns2d=1
{txt}(49773 real changes made)

{com}. predict mtar2df, p11
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace dendyt2d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. replace dndyns2d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict mtar2ndf, p11
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. sum multtarg mtarpre2 mtar2df mtar2ndf

{txt}    Variable {c |}     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 53}
    multtarg {c |}{res}     812    .1908867   .3932422          0          1
    {txt}mtarpre2 {c |}{res}     812    .0030261   .0027638    .000309   .0258045
     {txt}mtar2df {c |}{res}     812    .0044444   .0032174   .0007447   .0344651
    {txt}mtar2ndf {c |}{res}     812    .0024469   .0019355    .000309   .0258045
{txt}
{com}. replace dendyt2d=defense
{txt}(21024 real changes made)

{com}. replace dndyns2d=defnosec
{txt}(20063 real changes made)

{com}. 
. replace neuto1d=1
{txt}(62426 real changes made)

{com}. predict mtar2ne, p11
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace neuto1d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict mtar2nne, p11
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. sum multtarg mtarpre2 mtar2ne mtar2nne

{txt}    Variable {c |}     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 53}
    multtarg {c |}{res}     812    .1908867   .3932422          0          1
    {txt}mtarpre2 {c |}{res}     812    .0030261   .0027638    .000309   .0258045
     {txt}mtar2ne {c |}{res}     812    .0028829   .0028352    .000309   .0283755
    {txt}mtar2nne {c |}{res}     812    .0030768   .0027505   .0004198   .0258045
{txt}
{com}. replace neuto1d=neutral
{txt}(7410 real changes made)

{com}. 
. predict mtarpre3, pcond
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace dendyt2d=1
{txt}(48812 real changes made)

{com}. replace dndyns2d=1
{txt}(49773 real changes made)

{com}. predict mtar3df, pcond
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace dendyt2d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. replace dndyns2d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict mtar3ndf, pcond
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. sum multtarg mtarpre3 mtar3df mtar3ndf

{txt}    Variable {c |}     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 53}
    multtarg {c |}{res}     812    .1908867   .3932422          0          1
    {txt}mtarpre3 {c |}{res}     812    .1910971   .1392852    .021315   .7464867
     {txt}mtar3df {c |}{res}     812    .3826467   .1317693   .1206772   .7544681
    {txt}mtar3ndf {c |}{res}     812    .1350605   .0748427    .021315   .4336636
{txt}
{com}. replace dendyt2d=defense
{txt}(21024 real changes made)

{com}. replace dndyns2d=defnosec
{txt}(20063 real changes made)

{com}. 
. replace neuto1d=1
{txt}(62426 real changes made)

{com}. predict mtar3ne, pcond
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace neuto1d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict mtar3nne, pcond
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. sum multtarg mtarpre3 mtar3ne mtar3nne

{txt}    Variable {c |}     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 53}
    multtarg {c |}{res}     812    .1908867   .3932422          0          1
    {txt}mtarpre3 {c |}{res}     812    .1910971   .1392852    .021315   .7464867
     {txt}mtar3ne {c |}{res}     812    .1240981   .1053512    .021315    .612826
    {txt}mtar3nne {c |}{res}     812    .2056729   .1397352   .0494181   .7464867
{txt}
{com}. replace neuto1d=neutral
{txt}(7410 real changes made)

{com}. 
. 
. heckprob war jdem capdif dendyt2d ofndyt1d neuto1d, select (disdum=jdem contig capprop swtglo dendyt2d ofndyt1d neuto1d) nolog

{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}    69730
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}    68918
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      812

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}     6.97
{txt}Log likelihood = {res} -4410.18                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.2229

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}war          {txt}{c |}
        jdem {c |}  {res}-.2510988   .3415108    -0.74   0.462    -.9204476      .41825
      {txt}capdif {c |}  {res} -1.73414   .9559505    -1.81   0.070    -3.607769    .1394881
    {txt}dendyt2d {c |}  {res}-.3001064   .1798148    -1.67   0.095     -.652537    .0523242
    {txt}ofndyt1d {c |}  {res} .0658194   .1859422     0.35   0.723    -.2986206    .4302595
     {txt}neuto1d {c |}  {res}-.0708223   .1945746    -0.36   0.716    -.4521815    .3105369
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-1.566425   .7488212    -2.09   0.036    -3.034088   -.0987628
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}disdum       {txt}{c |}
        jdem {c |}  {res}-.1428425    .059467    -2.40   0.016    -.2593957   -.0262892
      {txt}contig {c |}  {res} .5228969   .0308591    16.94   0.000     .4624141    .5833797
     {txt}capprop {c |}  {res} .1917471   .0383498     5.00   0.000     .1165829    .2669112
      {txt}swtglo {c |}  {res}-.4086832   .0395082   -10.34   0.000    -.4861179   -.3312485
    {txt}dendyt2d {c |}  {res} -.191063   .0332929    -5.74   0.000    -.2563159   -.1258102
    {txt}ofndyt1d {c |}  {res}  .184922   .0381532     4.85   0.000     .1101431    .2597008
     {txt}neuto1d {c |}  {res} .2021482   .0386183     5.23   0.000     .1264577    .2778387
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-2.306263   .0357981   -64.42   0.000    -2.376425     -2.2361
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     /athrho {c |}  {res}  .138756      .3228     0.43   0.667{col 58}-.4939204    .7714324
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
         rho {c |}  {res} .1378723    .316664{col 58}-.4573224    .6477616
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.19   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.6656
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. predict warpre3, p11
{txt}(106 missing values generated)

{com}. replace dendyt2d=1
{txt}(48812 real changes made)

{com}. predict wardef2, p11
{txt}(106 missing values generated)

{com}. replace dendyt2d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict warnodf2, p11
{txt}(106 missing values generated)

{com}. replace dendyt2d=defense
{txt}(21024 real changes made)

{com}. replace ofndyt1d=1
{txt}(61188 real changes made)

{com}. predict waroff2, p11
{txt}(106 missing values generated)

{com}. replace ofndyt1d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict warnoof2, p11
{txt}(106 missing values generated)

{com}. replace ofndyt1d=offense
{txt}(8648 real changes made)

{com}. replace neuto1d=1
{txt}(62426 real changes made)

{com}. predict warneu2, p11
{txt}(106 missing values generated)

{com}. replace neuto1d=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict warnone2, p11
{txt}(106 missing values generated)

{com}. replace neuto1d=neutral
{txt}(7410 real changes made)

{com}. 
. sum war warpre3 wardef2 warnodf2 waroff2 warnoof2 warneu2 warnone2

{txt}    Variable {c |}     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 53}
         war {c |}{res}     812    .0751232   .2637524          0          1
     {txt}warpre3 {c |}{res}   69730    .0008679   .0007851   .0000135   .0107721
     {txt}wardef2 {c |}{res}   69730    .0003929   .0003511   .0000135   .0044407
    {txt}warnodf2 {c |}{res}   69730    .0010999   .0009051   .0000502   .0107721
     {txt}waroff2 {c |}{res}   69730    .0013542   .0011022   .0000271    .011172
    {txt}warnoof2 {c |}{res}   69730    .0007917   .0006895   .0000133   .0074245
     {txt}warneu2 {c |}{res}   69730    .0011342   .0009487   .0000201   .0107721
    {txt}warnone2 {c |}{res}   69730    .0008282   .0007384   .0000135   .0094561
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. heckprob war jdem capdif bidisp, select (disdum=jdem contig capprop swtglo dendyt2d ofndyt1d neuto1d) nolog

{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}    69730
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}    68918
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      812

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}3{txt})       = {res}    15.77
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-4405.679                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0013

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}war          {txt}{c |}
        jdem {c |}  {res}-.1601577   .3346731    -0.48   0.632    -.8161048    .4957894
      {txt}capdif {c |}  {res}-2.023293   .9843301    -2.06   0.040    -3.952545   -.0940419
      {txt}bidisp {c |}  {res}-.4788011   .1338772    -3.58   0.000    -.7411956   -.2164066
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-.5182487   .7123103    -0.73   0.467    -1.914351     .877854
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}disdum       {txt}{c |}
        jdem {c |}  {res}-.1432136   .0594686    -2.41   0.016    -.2597699   -.0266574
      {txt}contig {c |}  {res} .5232638    .030838    16.97   0.000     .4628224    .5837053
     {txt}capprop {c |}  {res} .1920691   .0383419     5.01   0.000     .1169205    .2672178
      {txt}swtglo {c |}  {res}-.4061413   .0396618   -10.24   0.000     -.483877   -.3284057
    {txt}dendyt2d {c |}  {res}-.1928806   .0333994    -5.77   0.000    -.2583423    -.127419
    {txt}ofndyt1d {c |}  {res} .1852094   .0381343     4.86   0.000     .1104674    .2599513
     {txt}neuto1d {c |}  {res} .2016878    .038623     5.22   0.000     .1259882    .2773874
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-2.307463   .0357949   -64.46   0.000    -2.377619   -2.237306
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     /athrho {c |}  {res}-.1809646   .2663005    -0.68   0.497{col 58}-.7029039    .3409747
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
         rho {c |}  {res}-.1790147   .2577665{col 58}-.6062078    .3283473
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.45   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.5031
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. predict warpre4, pcond
{txt}(69024 missing values generated)

{com}. replace bidisp=1
{txt}(69293 real changes made)

{com}. predict warbi2, pcond
{txt}(106 missing values generated)

{com}. replace bidisp=0
{txt}(69836 real changes made)

{com}. predict warnobi2, pcond
{txt}(106 missing values generated)

{com}. replace bidisp=bilat
{txt}(69567 real changes made, 69024 to missing)

{com}. 
. sum war warpre4 warbi2 warnobi2

{txt}    Variable {c |}     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 53}
         war {c |}{res}     812    .0751232   .2637524          0          1
     {txt}warpre4 {c |}{res}     812    .0751187   .0377516    .013911   .1758379
      {txt}warbi2 {c |}{res}   69730    .0466731   .0151739   .0066558   .0882254
    {txt}warnobi2 {c |}{res}   69730    .1153854   .0310226   .0233418   .1931725
{txt}
{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Work\Research\Alliance\escexp\MintzRussett\Leeds2004.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 7 Oct 2004, 15:11:54
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}